Ten years at the Oscars!
Our tenth Oscar contest was a repeat of our very first contest -- 1998 -- and our 2005 contest, with victory going to Gary and Lindsey in a very close race.
The first two statuettes went to "Pan's Labyrinth," and the third to the animated short "The Danish Poet" (which none of us chose). So our race didn't really take shape until the 5th category, Sound Editing, when Samantha and Teghan were in a tie for the lead at three each. After the next envelope, Sam was in the lead all by herself -- and would stay there for the next 16 categories!
After Best Animated Feature ("Happy Feet"), her lead had extended by three over everyone else, and she had correctly picked seven of the the eight awards so far.
With Costume Design, the tenth envelope, Erika moved into second place; and two envelopes later Teghan and Livy caught her in a 3-way tie for second. But Livy took over the second spot with the very next award, and was only one point behind Sam, who was stalled at 7.
The 14th envelope, for Best Supporting Actress, had Jennifer Hudson's name on it, and Gary and Marsha caught Livy in another 3-way tie for second place. Sam was moving again, extending her lead even more and beginning to look out of reach.
At the end of 15, Teghan was now tied with the eventual winner in her category (Lindsey), and tied also with Amanda and Erika -- and ahead of Brent, Donna, Grandma, John, Karen, Paul, Ryan, and Tristen. Teghan so far had made cinq correct picks (she was making her tally in both Spanish and French!) and was at this point the Metcalf family's best hope for taking the trophy to their new house.
Three envelopes later, with Best Original Screenplay, Gary moved to 2nd place all alone -- but still trailed Sam by two. Looks like her night!
But at the very end of the show with one envelope to go, Gary caught up with Sam. They each had different picks for the Best Picture category, so it was suddenly a real horse-race that could go to either one of them.
With "The Departed" as the winning picture, Gary and Lindsey moved ahead of the pack. Of the top six awards (Picture, Director, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor and Actress), Gary made five correct picks.
Thanks to everybody who played along this year. See you next year!
(Number of correct picks out of 24 categories) 13 Gary 12 Samantha 10 Karen 10 Marsha 9 Amanda 9 Emily 9 John 9 Lindsey 8 Donna 7 Grandma 7 Olivia 6 Brent 6 Erika 6 Paul 6 Ryan 5 Teghan 5 Tristen
And totalling all the results of the past ten years, here are the standings, in order of percentage of correct picks:
56% Gary 123 right out of 220 52% Donna 114 right out of 220 50% Sean 12 right out of 24 48% Marsha 106 right out of 220 48% John 105 right out of 220 46% Amanda 101 right out of 220 44% Grandma 97 right out of 220 42% Zachary 36 right out of 86 39% Karen 85 right out of 220 38% Lori 56 right out of 148 37% Paul 82 right out of 220 36% Ryan 70 right out of 196 35% Anna 55 right out of 158 35% Lindsey 76 right out of 220 35% Samantha 78 right out of 220 30% Brent 28 right out of 95 30% Emily 66 right out of 220 24% Erika 49 right out of 205 24% Olivia 29 right out of 119 22% Tristen 31 right out of 142 15% Teghan 7 right out of 48